Dr. Ed’s
Economic
Indicators

RECESSION THREAT INDEX

Release Date: End of Month
Release Coverage: Monthly
Released By: Seifried & Brew LLC
Official Release: www.seifriedbrew.com

The recession threat index is a proprietary index that is based on economic data releases and careful analysis that measures and assesses the severity of an upcoming economic contraction. As the indicator reaches levels near 100, the severity of the contraction will be stronger. A period of economic recovery may soon follow, or at least a slowdown in the rate of contraction may be indicated, where the percentage values fall.

WHAT DR. ED SAYS:

The Recession Threat Index gives you insight into the potential of a period of economic contraction. As the index rises, we see a greater likelihood of a recession or of the continuance of one. Monitoring this trend gives a good idea of the future economic conditions of our nation and may help prepare for a recessionary period.

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